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Global Warming – a myth?

2008 December 31
by Tim V-B

One of 2008’s Frequently Repeated Stories was that of Global Warming. With Obama moving to 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue, expect to hear more and more.  But I remain a skeptic.  Partly, no doubt, that’s because I enjoy holding minority opinions (we’ll save that one for analysis some other time!).  In 2007 I read Michael’s Crichton’s State of Fear. crichton_state_of_fearWoven into the fictional narrative are vast numbers of scientific surveys suggesting problems with Global Warming.  Worth reading, if you like his sort of books (e.g. Jurassic Park).

Readers of the Telegraph will be aware of Christopher Booker’s repeated expose of the fake science behind Global Warming theories.  Here’s a great article to read: “2008 was the year man-made global warming was disproved.” (As an aside, his articles also frequently reveal how useless wind turbines are, a conclusion I came to over 10 years ago while doing a project on them).

Another link: “Warming, or Hot Air” contains some good scientific points:

As regards global warming, my view is essentially the same as yours: Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) is a scam, with no basis in science.

A few comments on my own particular view of global warming:

(1) I am particularly annoyed by the claims that the “the debate is over,” because this was exactly the claim originally made against the Copernican theory of the Solar System. Copernicus’ opponents said the idea that the Earth was the third planet from the Sun was advanced by Aristrachus in 300 B.C. (true), and had been definitely refuted by 100 A.D. The debate is over! Sorry, it wasn’t: the Earth IS the third planet.

(2) It is obvious that anthropogenic global warming is not science at all, because a scientific theory makes non-obvious predictions which are then compared with observations that the average person can check for himself. As we both know from our own observations, AGW theory has spectacularly failed to do this. The theory has predicted steadily increasing global temperatures, and this has been refuted by experience. NOW the global warmers claim that the Earth will enter a cooling period. In other words, whether the ice caps melt, or expand — whatever happens — the AGW theorists claim it confirms their theory. A perfect example of a pseudo-science like astrology.

(3) In contrast, the alternative theory, that the increase and decrease of the Earth’s average temperature in the near term follows the sunspot number, agrees (roughly) with observation. And the observations were predicted before they occurred. This is good science.

(4) I emphasized in point (2) that the average person has to be able to check the observations. I emphasize this because I no longer trust “scientists” to report observations correctly. I think the data is adjusted to confirm, as far as possible, AGW. We’ve seen many recent cases where the data was cooked in climate studies. In one case, Hanson and company claimed that October 2008 was the warmest October on record. Watts looked at the data, and discovered that Hanson and company had used September’s temperatures for Russia rather than October’s. I’m not surprised to learn that September is hotter than October in the Northern hemisphere.

Read it all.

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